Barcelona – Benfica: Prediction for the Champions League match

On the road in the first game of the 1/8 finals of the Champions League “Barcelona” achieved a victory over Benfica with a minimum score of 1:0, although most of the half of the game played in ten men. Will the Catalans manage to keep or even develop their advantage in the home game on March 11? – the answer is in our prediction. What are the best bets for the match?

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Barcelona Current form

“Barcelona” at the moment has developed an impressive winless streak and in the calendar year 2025 has not yet lost in any of the tournaments where it takes part. In the Primera, the Catalans top the table, have an equal number of points with Real Madrid, but there is still a game in reserve. It’s all about the fact that their match with “Osasuna” in the last round was canceled because of the death of the club doctor. In the first meeting of the 1/8 finals in Portugal, Hansi Flick’s team played with ten men from the 22nd minute, but it did not prevent them from scoring a goal and registering a minimal victory 1-0, and even in possession of the ball Catalans are not particularly conceded to Benfica (48%).

Disqualifications and injuries

Kubarsi will miss the game due to suspension. Bernal and Christensen are injured. Lewandowski’s appearance on the field is in question.

Interesting trends for betting

In three of the five previous matches Barcelona won in the first half
Barcelona have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight matches in the Champions League.
Tentative lineup: Szczęsny – Kunde, Martinez, Araujo, Balde – Olmo, de Jong, Pedri – Yamal, Torres, Rafinha.

Benfica Current form

“Benfica” at the moment has gained an impressive momentum, in the Primera is chasing the leading ‘Sporting’, from which is three points behind with a game to spare. The winning streak in the national championship has reached five matches. In the Champions League, as the home match showed, against the background of Barcelona, the Eagles are still inferior in class. Even with a numerical advantage, Bruno Laje’s wards could not achieve a positive result, although in terms of chances created, they were on their goal. We also remember that at the overall stage in a super-resultant face-off Benfica lost on their own field with a score of 4:5.

Disqualifications and injuries

Di Maria, Bach, M. Silva and Gouveia will not play today due to injuries. Carreras will miss the game due to suspension.

Interesting betting trends

Benfica have opened the scoring in four of their last five matches in the Champions League
“Benfica won five of the six previous matches in the Champions League.
Tentative lineup: Trubin – Araujo, A. Silva, Otamendi, Dal – Kekciu, Eursnes, Barreiro – Shelderup, Pavlidis, Aktyurkoglu.

Prediction and bets

In the two played face-to-face matches in the current Champions League draw, Barcelona won and clearly demonstrated their tangible advantage in class. “Benfica” can not cope with the powerful attack of the Catalans, and today we need to play more boldly, open up, given that it is necessary to win back one goal after a home defeat. We believe that under such circumstances, the home team’s attack will have many chances to score and they will score at least three times.

Our prediction is Barcelona’s individual goal total over 2.5 at odds of 1.98.

Combined bet

In the first game of the 1/8 finals the rivals scored only one goal, although they created plenty of chances. Somewhere the realization failed, somewhere the goalkeepers played perfectly. We don’t think we should expect a goal drought today, there is a high probability that we will see Barcelona win on class and at least four goals scored.

The second bet is Barcelona’s victory and total more than 3.5 goals at odds of 2.40.

Bet on yellow cards

Let’s note the promising trend of yellow cards. Benfica players have not received more than two warnings in six of their last eight away games in the Champions League. Accordingly, we recommend another option for a safe bet on the game.

Prediction – Benfica yellow card total less than 2.5 with odds 1.72